Generated at: 2026-04-03 08:06:41
| Name | Value (Released) | 18M Avg / Baseline | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 202.0K (Released: 2026-03-28) | 223.6K | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.35% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.72% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 密西根大學消費者信心指數 (U.S. Consumer Sentiment) | 56.60 pts (Released: 2026-02-01) | 59.36 pts | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 商業庫存 (Business Inventories) | 0.96% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1.72% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 5.88% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 4.59% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 州和地方政府消費支出 (State & Local Gov Consumption) | 2.06% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 2.51% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 信用卡違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Credit Card Loans) | 2.94% (Released: 2025-10-01) | 3.00% | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 商業貸款違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Business Loans) | 1.34% (Released: 2025-10-01) | 1.31% | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.35% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.72% YoY | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.63% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.26% MoM | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 5.88% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 4.59% YoY | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 202.0K (Released: 2026-03-28) | 223.6K | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 實質耐久財消費支出 (Real PCE: Durable Goods) | 1.02% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 4.03% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.63% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.26% MoM | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 核心資本財訂單 (Nondefense Capital Goods Orders Excl. Aircraft) | 4.41% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 3.38% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 商品與服務進口 (Imports of Goods & Services) | -1.26% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 3.34% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 202.0K (Released: 2026-03-28) | 223.6K | Labor Market |
| 非農就業人數 (Nonfarm Payrolls) | -92.0K MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 32.6K MoM | Labor Market |
| ADP小非農就業人數 (ADP Employment) | 62.0K MoM (Released: 2026-03-01) | 46.8K MoM | Labor Market |
| 短期失業人數 (Unemployed <5 Weeks) | -0.64% YoY (Released: 2026-02-01) | 3.00% YoY | Labor Market |
| JOLTS 職缺數 (Job Openings) | 6.88M (Released: 2026-02-01) | 7.12M | Labor Market |
| 勞動參與率 (Labor Force Participation Rate) | 62.00% (Released: 2026-02-01) | 62.39% | Labor Market |
| 薩姆規則衰退指標 (Sahm Rule Indicator) | 0.27 pts (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.28 pts | Labor Market |
| 平均每小時薪資 (Average Hourly Earnings) | 0.40% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.32% MoM | Labor Market |
| 流動性利差 (SOFR - IORB Spread) | 0.00% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 10年期減3個月期公債利差 (10Y-3M Spread) | 0.61% (Released: 2026-04-02) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 10年期減2年期公債利差 (10Y-2Y Spread) | 0.52% (Released: 2026-04-02) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 準備金餘額利率 (IORB) | 3.65% (Released: 2026-04-03) | 4.10% | Rates & Spreads |
| 擔保隔夜融資利率 (SOFR) | 3.65% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 4.21% | Rates & Spreads |
| 美國 BBB 級企業債選擇權調整利差 (US BBB Corporate OAS) | 1.10% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 1.06% | Credit Risk |
| 美國高收益債券利差 (US High Yield OAS) | 3.16% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 2.99% | Credit Risk |
| CCC級及以下高收益債券利差 (CCC High Yield OAS) | 9.81% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 8.44% | Credit Risk |
| 商業貸款違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Business Loans) | 1.34% (Released: 2025-10-01) | 1.31% | Credit Risk |
| 信用卡違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Credit Card Loans) | 2.94% (Released: 2025-10-01) | 3.00% | Credit Risk |
| VIX恐慌指數 (CBOE Volatility Index) | 24.54 pts (Released: 2026-04-01) | 18.92 pts | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 密西根大學消費者信心指數 (U.S. Consumer Sentiment) | 56.60 pts (Released: 2026-02-01) | 59.36 pts | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.63% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.26% MoM | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.35% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.72% YoY | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 實質耐久財消費支出 (Real PCE: Durable Goods) | 1.02% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 4.03% YoY | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 核心資本財訂單 (Nondefense Capital Goods Orders Excl. Aircraft) | 4.41% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 3.38% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 工業生產指數 (Industrial Production) | 1.44% YoY (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.99% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 商業庫存 (Business Inventories) | 0.96% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1.72% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 10年期平準通膨率 (10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate) | 2.34% (Released: 2026-04-02) | 2.32% | Monetary & Inflation |
| 聯邦基金有效利率 (Federal Funds Rate) | 3.64% (Released: 2026-03-01) | 4.15% | Monetary & Inflation |
| 消費者物價指數 (CPI) | 0.27% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.25% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 核心個人消費支出物價指數 (Core PCE Price Index) | 0.36% MoM (Released: 2026-01-01) | 0.24% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 生產者物價指數 (PPI) | 2.08% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.36% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 核心生產者物價指數 (Core PPI) | 0.49% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.30% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 實質廣義美元指數 (Real Broad Dollar Index) | 113.51 pts (Released: 2026-03-01) | 116.51 pts | Monetary & Inflation |
| 聯準會總資產 (Fed Balance Sheet) | 6.68T (Released: 2026-04-01) | 6.71T | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| M2 貨幣供給量 (M2 Money Supply) | 0.88% MoM (Released: 2026-02-01) | 0.38% MoM | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 營建許可 (Building Permits) | 1386K (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1423K | GDP Output |
| 新屋開工 (Housing Starts) | 1487K (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1372K | GDP Output |
| 成屋銷售 (Existing Home Sales) | 4.09M (Released: 2026-02-01) | 4.07M | GDP Output |
| 實質國內生產毛額 (Real GDP) | 0.65% SAAR (Released: 2025-10-01) | 2.05% SAAR | GDP Output |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 5.88% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 4.59% YoY | GDP Output |
| 私人住宅固定投資 (Private Residential Fixed Investment) | -0.92% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 0.93% YoY | GDP Output |
| 州和地方政府消費支出 (State & Local Gov Consumption) | 2.06% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 2.51% YoY | GDP Output |
| 商品與服務進口 (Imports of Goods & Services) | -1.26% YoY (Released: 2025-10-01) | 3.34% YoY | GDP Output |