Generated at: 2026-05-20 08:05:54
| Name | Value (Released) | 18M Avg / Baseline | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 211.0K (Released: 2026-05-09) | 221.9K | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.12% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 2.64% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 密西根大學消費者信心指數 (U.S. Consumer Sentiment) | 53.30 pts (Released: 2026-03-01) | 58.21 pts | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 商業庫存 (Business Inventories) | 2.02% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 1.66% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 6.02% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 4.85% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 州和地方政府消費支出 (State & Local Gov Consumption) | 2.05% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.44% YoY | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 信用卡違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Credit Card Loans) | 2.92% (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.99% | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 商業貸款違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Business Loans) | 1.34% (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1.32% | 榮景期指標 (Priority) |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.12% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 2.64% YoY | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.47% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.37% MoM | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 6.02% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 4.85% YoY | 衰退期指標 (Recession) |
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 211.0K (Released: 2026-05-09) | 221.9K | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 實質耐久財消費支出 (Real PCE: Durable Goods) | -0.57% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 3.47% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.47% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.37% MoM | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 核心資本財訂單 (Nondefense Capital Goods Orders Excl. Aircraft) | 9.47% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 4.12% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 商品與服務進口 (Imports of Goods & Services) | -3.11% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.05% YoY | 復甦期指標 (Recovery) |
| 初領失業金人數 (Initial Claims) | 211.0K (Released: 2026-05-09) | 221.9K | Labor Market |
| 非農就業人數 (Nonfarm Payrolls) | 115.0K MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 38.6K MoM | Labor Market |
| 失業率 (Unemployment Rate) | 4.30% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 4.27% | Labor Market |
| ADP小非農就業人數 (ADP Employment) | 109.0K MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 47.2K MoM | Labor Market |
| 短期失業人數 (Unemployed <5 Weeks) | 13.76% YoY (Released: 2026-04-01) | 2.68% YoY | Labor Market |
| JOLTS 職缺數 (Job Openings) | 6.87M (Released: 2026-03-01) | 7.08M | Labor Market |
| 勞動參與率 (Labor Force Participation Rate) | 61.80% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 62.32% | Labor Market |
| 薩姆規則衰退指標 (Sahm Rule Indicator) | 0.13 pts (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.26 pts | Labor Market |
| 平均每小時薪資 (Average Hourly Earnings) | 0.16% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.29% MoM | Labor Market |
| 流動性利差 (SOFR - IORB Spread) | -0.12% (Released: 2026-05-18) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 10年期減3個月期公債利差 (10Y-3M Spread) | 1.00% (Released: 2026-05-19) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 10年期減2年期公債利差 (10Y-2Y Spread) | 0.54% (Released: 2026-05-19) | 0 軸 (Zero Axis) | Rates & Spreads |
| 準備金餘額利率 (IORB) | 3.65% (Released: 2026-05-20) | 4.02% | Rates & Spreads |
| 擔保隔夜融資利率 (SOFR) | 3.53% (Released: 2026-05-18) | 4.11% | Rates & Spreads |
| 美國 BBB 級企業債選擇權調整利差 (US BBB Corporate OAS) | 0.94% (Released: 2026-05-18) | 1.06% | Credit Risk |
| 美國高收益債券利差 (US High Yield OAS) | 2.83% (Released: 2026-05-18) | 2.99% | Credit Risk |
| CCC級及以下高收益債券利差 (CCC High Yield OAS) | 9.42% (Released: 2026-05-18) | 8.59% | Credit Risk |
| 商業貸款違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Business Loans) | 1.34% (Released: 2026-01-01) | 1.32% | Credit Risk |
| 信用卡違約率 (Delinquency Rate: Credit Card Loans) | 2.92% (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.99% | Credit Risk |
| VIX恐慌指數 (CBOE Volatility Index) | 17.82 pts (Released: 2026-05-18) | 18.93 pts | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 密西根大學消費者信心指數 (U.S. Consumer Sentiment) | 53.30 pts (Released: 2026-03-01) | 58.21 pts | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 零售銷售 (Retail Sales) | 0.47% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.37% MoM | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 實質可支配個人所得 (Real Disposable Personal Income) | 0.44% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 1.63% YoY | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 實質個人消費支出 (Real PCE) | 2.12% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 2.64% YoY | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 實質耐久財消費支出 (Real PCE: Durable Goods) | -0.57% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 3.47% YoY | Consumption & Sentiment |
| 核心資本財訂單 (Nondefense Capital Goods Orders Excl. Aircraft) | 9.47% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 4.12% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 工業生產指數 (Industrial Production) | 1.35% YoY (Released: 2026-04-01) | 1.04% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 商業庫存 (Business Inventories) | 2.02% YoY (Released: 2026-03-01) | 1.66% YoY | Production & Manufacturing |
| 10年期平準通膨率 (10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate) | 2.49% (Released: 2026-05-19) | 2.33% | Monetary & Inflation |
| 聯邦基金有效利率 (Federal Funds Rate) | 3.64% (Released: 2026-04-01) | 4.09% | Monetary & Inflation |
| 消費者物價指數 (CPI) | 0.64% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.31% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 核心個人消費支出物價指數 (Core PCE Price Index) | 0.29% MoM (Released: 2026-03-01) | 0.26% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 生產者物價指數 (PPI) | 2.66% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.68% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 核心生產者物價指數 (Core PPI) | 1.03% MoM (Released: 2026-04-01) | 0.36% MoM | Monetary & Inflation |
| 實質廣義美元指數 (Real Broad Dollar Index) | 113.51 pts (Released: 2026-04-01) | 116.15 pts | Monetary & Inflation |
| M2 貨幣供給量 (M2 Money Supply) | 0.26% MoM (Released: 2026-03-01) | 0.35% MoM | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 市場淨流動性 (Net Liquidity) | 5.89T (Released: 2026-05-13) | 5.90T | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 聯準會總資產 (Fed Balance Sheet) | 6.73T (Released: 2026-05-13) | 6.69T | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 財政部一般帳戶 (TGA Balance) | 838.58B (Released: 2026-05-13) | 694.34B | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 隔夜逆回購 (Reverse Repo) | 12.91B (Released: 2026-05-19) | 82.71B | Liquidity & Money Supply |
| 營建許可 (Building Permits) | 1.363M (Released: 2026-03-01) | 1.421M | GDP Output |
| 新屋開工 (Housing Starts) | 1.502M (Released: 2026-03-01) | 1.378M | GDP Output |
| 成屋銷售 (Existing Home Sales) | 4.020M (Released: 2026-04-01) | 4.064M | GDP Output |
| 實質國內生產毛額 (Real GDP) | 1.99% SAAR (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.01% SAAR | GDP Output |
| 固定私人投資 (Fixed Private Investment) | 6.02% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 4.85% YoY | GDP Output |
| 私人住宅固定投資 (Private Residential Fixed Investment) | -2.87% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 0.10% YoY | GDP Output |
| 州和地方政府消費支出 (State & Local Gov Consumption) | 2.05% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.44% YoY | GDP Output |
| 商品與服務進口 (Imports of Goods & Services) | -3.11% YoY (Released: 2026-01-01) | 2.05% YoY | GDP Output |